Win the Weekend: Fantasy soccer and betting suggestions

October 1, 2023

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Need to know the most recent developments, matchups and harm information in soccer? We have got you. Need to know the place the general public has cash this week? We have got you. Need to know which groups to play, whom to roster in DFS or whom to choose in your Eliminator pool? We have got you there, too. Here is every part you should know as you put together to your fantasy soccer matchups and potential bets on the video games this weekend.

Sports activities Betting house | Fantasy Soccer house

NFL

Why the Broncos may very well be a protected wager to rack up factors vs. the Bears

Erin Dolan expects the Broncos to surpass the workforce factors prop wager towards a “horrible” Bears protection.

Stephania Bell’s harm replace

Evaluation of all the important thing accidents to observe shall be up to date all through the weekend.
Get all the most recent harm information right here.

Matt Bowen’s matchups to take advantage of

New England Patriots QB Mac Jones vs. the Dallas Cowboys‘ schemed defensive fronts: The Cowboys lead the NFL with a strain fee of 49.5%. Defensive coordinator Dan Quinn will scheme his defensive alignments, creating matchups for Micah Parsons and open rush lanes off twist stunts. The objective ought to be to warmth up Jones on Sunday.
Tyreek Hill vs. the Buffalo Payments‘ zone coverages: Buffalo has performed a mixture of single-high and split-safety zone protection on 61.6% of opponent dropbacks this season. Search for Mike McDaniel to dial up some deep, leveled route ideas to open protection voids for Hill.
For extra breakdowns, try Matt Bowen’s Movie Room.

Mike Clay’s Eliminator Problem recommendation

Al Zeidenfeld’s DFS performs

Is Quentin Johnston value a glance in fantasy?

Discipline Yates explains the place Quentin Johnston stands within the Chargers receiving corps.

I am tempted to lean into the chalk once more with a Chargers and Raiders stack constructed round Keenan Allen ($7,900) and Davante Adams ($8,000). With each being probably core cash-game performs, it’ll make the pair very talked-about in tournaments, together with Josh Palmer, who’s solely $4,000 and clearly mispriced for his present function with Mike Williams out for the season. If that is the route chosen, it’ll be necessary to not solely discover worth to suit the first stack, but in addition to attempt to establish decrease performed mixtures to carry down the general proportion maintain of the lineup with the intention to be a bit extra contrarian. Worth performs like Calvin Austin ($3,300), Josh Downs ($3,500), Najee Harris ($5,500) and Javonte Williams ($5,500) will enable us that chance to not simply get monetary savings, however to distinguish our event lineup from a few of the others.
Extra DFS performs right here.

Seth Walder’s largest edges from ESPN Analytics

Philadelphia Eagles D/ST anytime TD (6-1 at DraftKings): Sam Howell has a sack downside. Sam Howell has an interception downside. The Eagles have a harmful protection. It is an ideal mixture. I make the truthful worth +438.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs DE Mike Danna underneath 0.25 sacks (-125 at DraftKings): Danna has 2.5 sacks this season however has by no means recorded greater than 5 in a yr. Plus, his 6% go rush win fee leaves rather a lot to be desired. Even towards Zach Wilson and the New York Jets, this underneath worth is simply too good to go up.
Atlanta Falcons QB Desmond Ridder over 0.5 INTs (+143): The Jacksonville Jaguars‘ protection ranks third in EPA allowed per designed run. Which may drive Atlanta to throw the ball, and that will increase the probabilities of a Ridder choose. I’ve Ridder at a 47% probability to throw an interception, a price towards this line.

David Purdum’s Motion Report

The SuperBook and South Level sportsbooks reported sharp motion on the Patriots +7 at Dallas, inflicting the road to drop to Cowboys -6.5. Chris Andrews, sportsbook director on the South Level, mentioned he believes bettors ignored the Cowboys’ accidents on their offensive line in final week’s loss to the Cardinals. “They don’t seem to be ignoring them this week,” Andrews mentioned. SuperBook govt director John Murray additionally mentioned sharp bettors took the Houston Texans +3 towards the Pittsburgh Steelers, inflicting the road to drop to Pittsburgh -2.5.
Caesars Sportsbook reported taking early motion on the Broncos towards the Bears in Chicago in a battle of winless groups. “The cash did come from Denver, some sharp motion,” Craig Mucklow, vp of buying and selling for Caesars Sportsbook, mentioned in an organization podcast. Denver opened on Sunday as a 2.5-point favourite, and the quantity had grown to -3.5 as of Thursday.
Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa has emerged as the favourite to win the regular-season MVP award at sportsbooks. Tagovailoa moved from +700 to +325 to win the award at PointsBet (Fanatics) after the Dolphins’ 70-20 win over the Broncos final week. Forward of the sport towards Denver, Tagovailoa had attracted fewer MVP bets than Bears QB Justin Fields.

Erin Dolan’s ‘Dolan Out Winners’

Why Erin Dolan likes the Vikings vs. the Panthers

Erin Dolan explains why she is laying the 4 factors with the Vikings vs. the Panthers this weekend.

Minnesota Vikings -4 at Carolina Panthers: In a matchup of winless groups, I consider the Vikings can put up extra factors than this Panthers’ offense. The Vikings’ offense has averaged 23 factors, shedding all three video games by a median of 4 factors. For an 0-3 workforce, Kirk Cousins is averaging 46 passing makes an attempt and 358 passing yards per sport. Minnesota was so near beating the Chargers final week, if not for Cousins’ late choose on the finish of the sport. Each defenses are permitting 27 factors per sport, so that is going to come back right down to offense. The Panthers’ offense has averaged solely 18 factors per sport. Andy Dalton stepped in at QB final week, however Bryce Younger might doubtlessly find yourself again on the sphere. I’m going with Cousins and firm to win and canopy on the street.
Broncos workforce complete OVER 24.5 factors at Bears: Each of those groups are 0-3 straight up and 0-3 towards the unfold, rating within the backside two spots within the league for factors allowed per sport. So what can we belief? I belief the Bears’ protection to proceed to be horrible. Chicago has allowed 25 or extra factors in 13 straight losses. The Broncos’ offense has averaged 23 factors, so they need to be capable of do some injury towards this protection — and need to do injury after their very own protection allowed Miami to attain 70 factors. The Bears have allowed all three opponents to hit over 24.5 factors.

Anita Marks’ NFL Confidence picks

Chiefs -8.5 at New York Jets: The Jets are nonetheless rolling with Zach Wilson, who barely can barely lead them 10 factors per sport. KC’s protection has been good and has the gamers to get to Wilson. The Chiefs will put up at the very least 20 towards a Jets’ protection that’s shedding endurance. Rely on a Travis Kelce anytime TD (-155) for Taylor Swift within the field!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints UNDER 39.5 factors: Derek Carr is coping with a shoulder harm and likelihood is he won’t swimsuit up in Week 4. The Bucs are on a brief work week after shedding to the Eagles on “Monday Evening Soccer” and now must journey to the Huge Straightforward. The Saints get Alvin Kamara again to run and obtain out of the backfield. The Mike Evans vs. Marshon Lattimore matchup ought to be a enjoyable one to observe, though Lattimore has dominated in previous encounters.

Tyler Fulghum’s Pigskin Decide’em performs

I undoubtedly didn’t see a few these upsets going down in Week 3. The Cowboys misplaced to the Cardinals. The Jags and Ravens additionally misplaced as massive favorites at house. That is why we love the NFL. Anticipate the sudden. No telling which of those Week 4 “gimmes” will yield an sudden outcome for Pigskin Decide’em.

Packers
Jaguars
Dolphins
Broncos
Browns
Bengals
Rams
Saints
Eagles
Vikings
Steelers
Chargers
Cowboys
49ers
Chiefs
Giants

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Win the Weekend: Fantasy soccer and betting suggestions