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Thursday, February 6, 2025

Notable bets: Dak Prescott goes from lengthy shot to MVP favourite

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In a month, Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott went from lengthy shot to favourite to win the regular-season MVP at sportsbooks across the nation.

Prescott moved previous San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy and into the function of consensus MVP favourite on Sunday after main the Cowboys to a powerful 33-13 win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Prescott entered Week 10 at 60-1 to win MVP at ESPN BET, behind 11 different gamers. On Monday, Prescott was the favourite for the primary time this season at +160.

Purdy has the second-shortest odds to win MVP at +200, adopted by Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson at +700. Miami Dolphins receiver Tyreek Hill had climbed to 12-1 final week, however an ankle harm in Monday night time’s loss to the Tennessee Titans tempered his momentum. Hill was again to 18-1 on Tuesday, nonetheless the shortest odds of any non-quarterback listed.

Prescott handed for 271 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions within the Cowboys’ win over the Eagles. It was among the best outcomes of Sunday for the betting public, which even in Philly-friendly Atlantic Metropolis, sided with Dallas.

Tom Gable, sportsbook director on the sportsbook at The Borgata in Atlantic Metropolis, stated the Eagles-Cowboys recreation attracted “by far” essentially the most cash of the day. Gable stated the majority of the purpose unfold motion was on the favored Cowboys, which is uncommon for his guide, which generally is stuffed with Eagles trustworthy. The Borgata did take a $125,000 money-line guess on Philadelphia to win straight-up.

“We ended up shedding on the unfold, however received on the cash line and whole,” Gable stated. “Booked an honest win on the sport general.”

Dallas is tied with Philadelphia for the fourth-shortest odds to win the Tremendous Bowl at +750. The 49ers are the consensus favorites at +260, adopted by the Ravens (+500) and Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (+650).

NFL betting notables

The profitable run of NFL favorites that started on Thanksgiving Day and lasted into December has come to a crashing halt.

NFL underdogs went 11-4 in opposition to the unfold in Week 14, with a season-high eight outright upsets. Each underdogs — the New York Giants and Tennessee Titans — received outright Monday night time, upsetting the closely guess Inexperienced Bay Packers and Miami Dolphins, respectively.

Within the greatest upset level spread-wise of the season, the Titans rallied from 14 down within the remaining minutes to stun the Dolphins as 13.5-point underdogs. Groups that trailed by 14 factors with below three minutes to play had misplaced 767 consecutive video games earlier than the Titans upset, in accordance with ESPN Stats & Data.

For sportsbooks, Monday’s upsets turned what had been an honest weekend into an enormous boon. “We had an OK Sunday, received some, misplaced some,” John Murray, govt director of the SuperBook in Las Vegas, informed ESPN.

Upsets by the Chicago Bears over the Detroit Lions and the New York Jets over the Houston Texans, together with the Ravens failing to cowl in an time beyond regulation win over the Los Angeles Rams, produced the most important wins of the day for the a number of sportsbooks.

Murray famous that the SuperBook additionally got here out forward on the Cleveland Browns protecting the unfold in a 31-27 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The road had been as excessive as Cleveland -3.5 earlier final week, earlier than closing at a consensus -2.5. After a late Jacksonville landing that reduce the Browns result in 4, Jaguars coach Doug Pederson elected to try a two-point conversion, which failed, and Cleveland lined the unfold.

“We had some huge cash on the Jaguars,” Murray stated. “Loopy ending there by way of the purpose unfold, however I did assume Pederson made the suitable choice.”

Murray added that the SuperBook bought “beat up” on the Saints’ 28-6 win over the Panthers. “I swear the sensible guys are on Carolina each week,” Murray stated.

Carolina fell to 1-12 straight-up and 2-9-2 in opposition to the unfold.

The whole on the Texans-Jets recreation closed at 33.5 at ESPN BET, the second-lowest whole this season (behind solely Patriots-Steelers) and third-lowest within the final decade, in accordance with ESPN Stats and Data. The sport was 0-0 at halftime however nonetheless went over the whole with the Jets profitable 30-6. It is the primary recreation since 1986 to function no factors within the first half and nonetheless go over the whole.

The Vikings-Raiders recreation additionally went to halftime scoreless however didn’t go over the whole. Minnesota kicked a late subject purpose to win 3-0. No landing being scored within the recreation was listed at 40-1 at BetMGM, which reported no “notable” motion on these odds.

DraftKings supplied 70-1 on no landing and reported taking one $5 guess that received $350.

Week 15 traces

[as of Tuesday; via ESPN BET]

Thursday

Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders (-3, 33.5)

Saturday

Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5, 38.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (-3, 42.5)
Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions (-5 46.5)

Sunday

Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (-3, 37.5)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-8.5, 40.5)
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-4.5, 36.5)
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-10, 37.5) at New England Patriots
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Inexperienced Bay Packers (-3.5, 42.5)
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-2.5, 37.5)
Atlanta Falcons (-3, 35.5) at Carolina Panthers
Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Rams (-6.5, 48.5)
San Francisco 49ers (-13.5, 47.5) at Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Payments (-2.5, 48.5)
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 43.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Monday

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 47.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Faculty soccer betting notables

The purpose unfold on the Cotton Bowl between No. 5 Ohio State and No. 6 Missouri moved eight factors in per week, remodeling the Buckeyes from favorites to underdogs. It is the biggest early motion of any bowl recreation at Caesars Sportsbook. Ohio State had opened as 6.5-point favorites at sportsbooks, earlier than quarterback Kyle McCord introduced his intention to enter the switch portal final Monday. In 24 hours, Missouri was the favourite, and line continued to tick up all through the week, with the Tigers now sitting as 2.5-point favorites.

Different early bowl line motion contains:

Myrtle Seaside Bowl, Saturday: Georgia Southern moved from a 1.5-point underdog to a 3.5-point favourite over Ohio.

Barstool Sports activities Arizona Bowl, Dec. 30: Wyoming moved from a 1.5-point underdog to a 2.5-point favourite over Toledo.

The ending of Saturday’s MilitaryNavy recreation supplied loads of betting drama, together with on one of many lowest over/below totals in faculty soccer historical past.

The whole closed wherever from 27.5 to twenty-eight.5. Military, main 15-11, bought a fourth-down cease by itself purpose line with seconds left. The Black Knights elected to take an intentional security on the ultimate play, with quarterback Bryson Day by day operating out of the again of the tip zone, to make the ultimate rating Military 17, Navy 11.

Veteran Las Vegas bookmaker Chris Andrews of the South Level was not happy with the consequence and posted on social media that he misplaced on each the over and below:



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